Recent form, without the noise
Recent performance is weighted for opponent quality, venue and match state — not just the final score.
Football prediction intelligence
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Model-led football predictions for people who want to understand the game — not hear one more opinion.
86%Hit rate (all settled selections)
705Settled selections, losses included
1.18Average fair odds
APX MATCH FILM00:03 / 00:18
01 / MatchdayEvery touch leaves a signal.
18.4Kmatch events read
LIVE MODEL ●
1X2 PROBABILITIES◆VERIFIED MATCHES◆CONFIDENCE SCORES◆FULL AUDIT HISTORYAll settled predictions since 22 Aug 2026
86%Hit rate (all settled predictions)608 won · 97 lost from 705 settled predictions
1.18Average fair oddsBreak-even hit rate: 84.8%
85%vs86%Stated probability versus realised rateAverage stated before kickoff, compared with the outcome
87%Last 30 days (secondary)637 settled predictions, losses included
Most of our predictions are high-probability, low-odds selections. At average fair odds of 1.18, a hit rate of about 84.8% only breaks even; a high rate alone does not mean profit. We have not demonstrated an advantage over bookmaker prices for match outcomes. Every settled prediction is counted, losses included. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+.
Recent results
- WONReading 1–0 Leyton OrientReading or draw · 87% · 21 Oct 2026
- WONAlbert Quévy-Mons 2–0 RochefortAlbert Quévy-Mons to score · 84% · 21 Oct 2026
- WONSogndal 2–1 RaufossSogndal to score · 90% · 21 Oct 2026
- WONTerrassa 1–0 Girona IITerrassa or draw · 82% · 21 Oct 2026
- WONPersija 5–1 Arema FCPersija or draw · 90% · 21 Oct 2026
- WONVegalta Sendai 3–1 ImabariVegalta Sendai to score · 84% · 21 Oct 2026
- WONBali United 5–0 GarudayaksaBali United or draw · 84% · 21 Oct 2026
- WONGuadalajara W 7–0 Necaxa WGuadalajara W or draw · 99% · 21 Oct 2026
- WONGuadalajara Chivas 1–0 NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas or draw · 88% · 21 Oct 2026
- WONHuddersfield 4–1 PeterboroughHuddersfield or draw · 84% · 20 Oct 2026
The hit rate includes every settled prediction in the period, including losses. Voids are excluded. Full record →
Nothing above is a future prediction. Today’s predictions are for subscribers.
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Every prediction shows the complete outcome split, its confidence, and the evidence that informed the model.
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Published predictions remain published. Results, voids, model versions and timestamps stay visible.
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Every eligible selection, plus version history, priority alerts and WhatsApp delivery.
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ApexPredict is a subscription publishing service: we publish statistical analysis and predictions for football matches. ApexPredict does not accept, place, broker or settle wagers, and it holds no bookmaker, betting-intermediary or gambling licence. You cannot bet, deposit or win money on ApexPredict. Nothing we publish is betting advice or a promise of profit, and no published probability guarantees a result.