Matches in scope
72
Completed or cancelled fixtures covered by this report.
Transparent performance
ApexPredict public track record
Every settled matchday is disclosed after the evaluation worker finishes: shortlist wins, misses, abstentions, league splits, and every modelled market. No outcome is hidden by a subscription.
Matchday report
What landed, what missed, and what Apex left alone
This report is rebuilt from the evaluation worker's settled postmortems. It measures the exact market shortlisted for each match and separately audits every other modelled angle.
Friday, 16 October 2026 · Lagos time (WAT)
72 matches were in scope. 22 matches received a shortlist pick: 18 landed and 4 missed, a 81.8% hit rate. 49 matches were abstained from, and 1 had no public postmortem.
Shortlist picks
22
Matches where one market cleared every gate.
Landed
18
The shortlisted condition occurred.
Missed
4
The shortlisted condition did not occur.
Abstained
49
No market was strong enough to shortlist.
Not analyzed
1
Completed fixtures missing a public prediction postmortem.
Shortlist hit rate
81.8%
Landed ÷ landed plus missed; abstentions and voids excluded.
Selected performance
Shortlisted markets
Only the one market Apex actually selected for each match.
| Group | Picks | Landed | Missed | Abstained | Not analyzed | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team to score | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 76.5% |
| Double chance | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
All-option audit
Every modelled market
This recreates reports such as “team to score landed 30 of 37.” These were evaluated options, not necessarily customer shortlist picks.
| Market | Landed | Missed | Sample | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 54 | 17 | 71 | 76.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54 | 17 | 71 | 76.1% |
| Team to score | 53 | 18 | 71 | 74.6% |
| Double chance | 48 | 23 | 71 | 67.6% |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | 39 | 32 | 71 | 54.9% |
| Both teams to score | 36 | 35 | 71 | 50.7% |
| Outright match result | 106 | 178 | 284 | 37.3% |
League view
Matchday results by competition
A league can have a strong day without proving a lasting trend. Sample sizes remain visible.
| Group | Picks | Landed | Missed | Abstained | Not analyzed | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lyga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 66.7% |
| Eerste Divisie | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| Liga 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Regionalliga - Nordost | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% |
| 2. Division | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| 2. SNL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100% |
| 3. Liga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Allsvenskan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Bundesliga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Eredivisie | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Ettan - Norra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Ettan - Södra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Liga Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| Regionalliga - Nord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| 2. Bundesliga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2. liga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Bundesliga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Championship | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| HNL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| League | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Liga 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | — |
| Liga Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Liga Profesional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Ligue 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| MSFL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| NB I | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Premier Division | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | — |
| Premier League | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Premijer Liga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Primera Division | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Primera División | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Regionalliga Ost | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | — |
| Segunda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Serie A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Serie B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Serie C - Girone A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Super League | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Süper Lig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — |
| Super Liga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Thai League 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
Every reviewed match
Match-by-match postmortems
Liga ProfesionalNo selection / abstained
Huracan
1–2Full time
Gimnasia L.P.
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Gimnasia L.P. won 1-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 1-2 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals81%LANDED
Huracan to score73%LANDED
Huracan or draw71%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals66%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals60%MISSED
Both teams to score — No55%MISSED
Huracan to win40%MISSED
Huracan to win40%MISSED
Match to end in a draw31%MISSED
Gimnasia L.P. to win29%LANDED
Liga NacionalShortlist landed
CD Marathon
2–1Full time
Olancho
Shortlisted selection
CD Marathon or draw81%
Reliability score · raw probability 81%
CD Marathon won 2-1. The shortlisted double_chance · 1X selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals82%LANDED
CD Marathon or draw81%LANDED
CD Marathon to score74%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals64%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals63%MISSED
Both teams to score — No58%MISSED
CD Marathon to win56%LANDED
CD Marathon to win56%LANDED
Match to end in a draw25%MISSED
Olancho to win19%MISSED
Primera DivisionNo selection / abstained
Firpo
2–0Full time
Inca Aruba
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Firpo won 2-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Firpo or draw89%LANDED
Firpo to score84%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals75%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Firpo to win67%LANDED
Firpo to win67%LANDED
Both teams to score — No51%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals50%MISSED
Match to end in a draw22%MISSED
Inca Aruba to win11%MISSED
Liga NacionalNo selection / abstained
Suchitepéquez
1–1Full time
Deportivo San Pedro
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 1-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Suchitepéquez or draw78%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals75%LANDED
Suchitepéquez to score74%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals72%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals54%LANDED
Suchitepéquez to win52%MISSED
Suchitepéquez to win52%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes51%LANDED
Match to end in a draw26%LANDED
Deportivo San Pedro to win22%MISSED
Liga NacionalNo selection / abstained
CD Olimpia
2–1Full time
Real Espana
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
CD Olimpia won 2-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
CD Olimpia to score80%LANDED
CD Olimpia or draw75%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals74%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes52%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals50%MISSED
CD Olimpia to win49%LANDED
CD Olimpia to win49%LANDED
Match to end in a draw26%MISSED
Real Espana to win25%MISSED
Liga 1No selection / abstained
PSIM Yogyakarta
1–2Full time
PSM Makassar
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
PSM Makassar won 1-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
PSIM Yogyakarta to score80%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals77%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals69%LANDED
PSIM Yogyakarta or draw66%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes56%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals54%LANDED
PSIM Yogyakarta to win39%MISSED
PSIM Yogyakarta to win39%MISSED
PSM Makassar to win34%LANDED
Match to end in a draw27%MISSED
Premier LeagueNo selection / abstained
Obolon'-Brovar
2–0Full time
Veres Rivne
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Obolon'-Brovar won 2-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals83%LANDED
Veres Rivne or draw70%MISSED
Veres Rivne to score67%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals64%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals63%LANDED
Both teams to score — No57%LANDED
Veres Rivne to win40%MISSED
Veres Rivne to win40%MISSED
Obolon'-Brovar to win30%LANDED
Match to end in a draw30%MISSED
Super LeagueNo selection / abstained
Henan Jianye
0–1Full time
Tianjin Teda
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Tianjin Teda won 0-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Henan Jianye to score77%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals75%MISSED
Henan Jianye or draw74%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes54%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals50%MISSED
Henan Jianye to win46%MISSED
Henan Jianye to win46%MISSED
Match to end in a draw28%MISSED
Tianjin Teda to win26%LANDED
Thai League 1No selection / abstained
Ayutthaya FC
0–2Full time
Lamphun Warrior
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Lamphun Warrior won 0-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 0-2 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals74%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals73%LANDED
Lamphun Warrior to score68%LANDED
Lamphun Warrior or draw64%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals52%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes52%MISSED
Lamphun Warrior to win37%LANDED
Lamphun Warrior to win37%LANDED
Ayutthaya FC to win36%MISSED
Match to end in a draw27%MISSED
Liga 1No selection / abstained
Java United
3–2Full time
Bali United
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Java United won 3-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals83%LANDED
Bali United to score79%LANDED
Bali United or draw65%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes63%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals62%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals61%MISSED
Bali United to win37%MISSED
Bali United to win37%MISSED
Java United to win35%LANDED
Match to end in a draw28%MISSED
Liga 1No selection / abstained
Persepam Madura Utd
3–3Full time
Bhayangkara FC
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 3-3. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals80%LANDED
Bhayangkara FC to score74%LANDED
Bhayangkara FC or draw66%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals65%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes60%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals57%LANDED
Bhayangkara FC to win39%MISSED
Bhayangkara FC to win39%MISSED
Persepam Madura Utd to win34%MISSED
Match to end in a draw27%LANDED
Liga 1No selection / abstained
Persijap
0–1Full time
Isenmulang Kalteng
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Isenmulang Kalteng won 0-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Persijap to score77%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals74%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Persijap or draw69%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes54%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals50%LANDED
Persijap to win43%MISSED
Persijap to win43%MISSED
Isenmulang Kalteng to win31%LANDED
Match to end in a draw27%MISSED
Premier LeagueShortlist landed
Alashkert
5–1Full time
Syunik
Shortlisted selection
Alashkert or draw93%
Reliability score · raw probability 93%
Alashkert won 5-1. The shortlisted double_chance · 1X selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Alashkert or draw93%LANDED
Alashkert to score87%LANDED
Alashkert to win81%LANDED
Alashkert to win81%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals77%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals69%MISSED
Both teams to score — No54%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals53%LANDED
Match to end in a draw13%MISSED
Syunik to win7%MISSED
2. SNLNo selection / abstained
Ilirija
0–1Full time
Tabor Sežana
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Tabor Sežana won 0-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals77%MISSED
Tabor Sežana or draw75%LANDED
Tabor Sežana to score71%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals69%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes56%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals53%MISSED
Tabor Sežana to win48%LANDED
Tabor Sežana to win48%LANDED
Match to end in a draw27%MISSED
Ilirija to win25%MISSED
LeagueNo selection / abstained
Doqarah
1–5Full time
Al Jazeera
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Al Jazeera won 1-5. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals77%MISSED
Al Jazeera to score71%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals70%LANDED
Al Jazeera or draw65%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals56%MISSED
Both teams to score — No51%MISSED
Al Jazeera to win36%LANDED
Al Jazeera to win36%LANDED
Doqarah to win35%MISSED
Match to end in a draw29%MISSED
1 LygaNo selection / abstained
Be1 NFA
2–0Full time
Neptūną Klaipėda
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Be1 NFA won 2-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Be1 NFA to score79%LANDED
Be1 NFA or draw77%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals75%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes53%MISSED
Be1 NFA to win53%LANDED
Be1 NFA to win53%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals50%LANDED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
Neptūną Klaipėda to win23%MISSED
Premier LeagueNo selection / abstained
Gandzasar
1–2Full time
Sardarapat
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Sardarapat won 1-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Sardarapat to score81%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals80%LANDED
Sardarapat or draw68%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals65%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes60%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals58%LANDED
Sardarapat to win43%LANDED
Sardarapat to win43%LANDED
Gandzasar to win32%MISSED
Match to end in a draw25%MISSED
MSFLNo selection / abstained
Hranice
2–1Full time
Vítkovice
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Hranice won 2-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals76%LANDED
Vítkovice to score71%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals71%LANDED
Vítkovice or draw64%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals55%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes50%LANDED
Vítkovice to win37%MISSED
Vítkovice to win37%MISSED
Hranice to win36%LANDED
Match to end in a draw27%MISSED
2. ligaNo selection / abstained
Liptovský Mikuláš
1–0Full time
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Liptovský Mikuláš won 1-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Liptovský Mikuláš to score81%LANDED
Liptovský Mikuláš or draw81%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals77%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals69%LANDED
Liptovský Mikuláš to win59%LANDED
Liptovský Mikuláš to win59%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes56%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals54%MISSED
Match to end in a draw22%MISSED
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom to win19%MISSED
2. ligaNo selection / abstained
Pohronie
0–0Full time
Malženice
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 0-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Pohronie to score80%MISSED
Pohronie or draw76%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals75%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals71%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes53%MISSED
Pohronie to win53%MISSED
Pohronie to win53%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals51%MISSED
Malženice to win24%MISSED
Match to end in a draw24%LANDED
Super LigaNo selection / abstained
Radnik Surdulica
3–0Full time
Radnicki NIS
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Radnik Surdulica won 3-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 3-0 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Radnik Surdulica to score79%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals74%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals72%LANDED
Radnik Surdulica or draw71%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals53%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes50%MISSED
Radnik Surdulica to win43%LANDED
Radnik Surdulica to win43%LANDED
Radnicki NIS to win29%MISSED
Match to end in a draw28%MISSED
2. SNLNo selection / abstained
Dravinja
2–1Full time
Jesenice
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Dravinja won 2-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals78%LANDED
Jesenice to score72%LANDED
Jesenice or draw70%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals68%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes57%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals54%LANDED
Jesenice to win45%MISSED
Jesenice to win45%MISSED
Dravinja to win30%LANDED
Match to end in a draw25%MISSED
1 LygaShortlist landed
Ekranas
1–3Full time
Dainava
Shortlisted selection
Dainava or draw85%
Reliability score · raw probability 85%
Dainava won 1-3. The shortlisted double_chance · X2 selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Dainava or draw85%LANDED
Dainava to score79%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals76%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals70%MISSED
Dainava to win67%LANDED
Dainava to win67%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes55%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals52%LANDED
Match to end in a draw18%MISSED
Ekranas to win15%MISSED
1 LygaShortlist landed
Hegelmann II
4–4Full time
Tauras
Shortlisted selection
Tauras to score82%
Reliability score · raw probability 83%
The match finished level 4-4. The shortlisted team_to_score · AWAY selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Tauras to score83%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals82%LANDED
Tauras or draw73%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes62%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals61%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals61%LANDED
Tauras to win52%MISSED
Tauras to win52%MISSED
Hegelmann II to win27%MISSED
Match to end in a draw21%LANDED
1 LygaNo selection / abstained
Jonava
3–0Full time
BFA
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Jonava won 3-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals74%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals73%LANDED
Jonava to score72%LANDED
Jonava or draw64%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes54%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals51%MISSED
Jonava to win38%LANDED
Jonava to win38%LANDED
BFA to win36%MISSED
Match to end in a draw26%MISSED
1 LygaShortlist missed
Kauno Žalgiris II
0–2Full time
Transinvest 2
Shortlisted selection
Kauno Žalgiris II to score83%
Reliability score · raw probability 83%
Transinvest 2 won 0-2. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection missed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Kauno Žalgiris II to score83%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals82%LANDED
Kauno Žalgiris II or draw74%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals62%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes61%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals60%MISSED
Kauno Žalgiris II to win50%MISSED
Kauno Žalgiris II to win50%MISSED
Transinvest 2 to win26%LANDED
Match to end in a draw23%MISSED
HNLNo selection / abstained
Rudes
1–2Full time
HNK Rijeka
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
HNK Rijeka won 1-2. The underlying 1X2 model outcome landed, but it was not a formal recommendation; the 1-2 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
HNK Rijeka or draw89%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals78%LANDED
HNK Rijeka to score77%LANDED
HNK Rijeka to win71%LANDED
HNK Rijeka to win71%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals68%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes58%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals55%LANDED
Match to end in a draw18%MISSED
Rudes to win11%MISSED
Premijer LigaNo selection / abstained
Sloga Doboj
0–1Full time
Siroki Brijeg
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Siroki Brijeg won 0-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals83%LANDED
Sloga Doboj or draw76%MISSED
Sloga Doboj to score69%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals64%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals63%LANDED
Both teams to score — No57%LANDED
Sloga Doboj to win48%MISSED
Sloga Doboj to win48%MISSED
Match to end in a draw28%MISSED
Siroki Brijeg to win24%LANDED
2. SNLShortlist landed
Triglav
1–0Full time
Dekani
Shortlisted selection
Triglav to score83%
Reliability score · raw probability 83%
Triglav won 1-0. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Triglav or draw92%LANDED
Triglav to score83%LANDED
Triglav to win78%LANDED
Triglav to win78%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals74%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals72%MISSED
Both teams to score — No54%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals53%LANDED
Match to end in a draw15%MISSED
Dekani to win8%MISSED
LeagueNo selection / abstained
Al Buqa'a
0–0Full time
Al Salt
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 0-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Al Salt to score76%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals74%MISSED
Al Salt or draw73%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes54%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals50%LANDED
Al Salt to win43%MISSED
Al Salt to win43%MISSED
Match to end in a draw30%LANDED
Al Buqa'a to win27%MISSED
2. BundesligaNo selection / abstained
Energie Cottbus
1–1Full time
1. FC Nürnberg
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 1-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 1-1 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals80%LANDED
1. FC Nürnberg to score79%LANDED
1. FC Nürnberg or draw75%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals65%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes60%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals58%MISSED
1. FC Nürnberg to win53%MISSED
1. FC Nürnberg to win53%MISSED
Energie Cottbus to win26%MISSED
Match to end in a draw21%LANDED
2. BundesligaNo selection / abstained
Holstein Kiel
0–0Full time
Hertha BSC
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 0-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 0-0 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals81%MISSED
Hertha BSC to score79%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals64%LANDED
Hertha BSC or draw64%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes61%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals58%MISSED
Hertha BSC to win40%MISSED
Hertha BSC to win40%MISSED
Holstein Kiel to win36%MISSED
Match to end in a draw24%LANDED
Regionalliga - NordNo selection / abstained
Atlas Delmenhorst
2–0Full time
Bremer SV
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Atlas Delmenhorst won 2-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Atlas Delmenhorst to score83%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals82%LANDED
Atlas Delmenhorst or draw72%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals62%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes61%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals61%MISSED
Atlas Delmenhorst to win45%LANDED
Atlas Delmenhorst to win45%LANDED
Bremer SV to win28%MISSED
Match to end in a draw26%MISSED
Süper LigNot analyzed
Çorum FK
2–1Full time
Rizespor
Coverage gap
No public prediction postmortem exists for this fixture.
No public prediction postmortem was produced for this completed fixture.
All modelled angles (0)
Review unavailable
Regionalliga - NordostShortlist landed
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
2–2Full time
FSV Zwickau
Shortlisted selection
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to score88%
Reliability score · raw probability 88%
The match finished level 2-2. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to score88%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals84%LANDED
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw82%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals64%LANDED
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win62%MISSED
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win62%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes61%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals58%MISSED
Match to end in a draw20%LANDED
FSV Zwickau to win18%MISSED
3. LigaShortlist missed
Fortuna Köln
0–1Full time
Stuttgart II
Shortlisted selection
Fortuna Köln to score84%
Reliability score · raw probability 84%
Stuttgart II won 0-1. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection missed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Fortuna Köln to score84%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals82%MISSED
Fortuna Köln or draw69%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes62%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals61%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals61%MISSED
Fortuna Köln to win43%MISSED
Fortuna Köln to win43%MISSED
Stuttgart II to win31%LANDED
Match to end in a draw25%MISSED
2. DivisionNo selection / abstained
Fremad Amager
3–2Full time
Nykobing FC
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Fremad Amager won 3-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals78%LANDED
Nykobing FC to score78%LANDED
Nykobing FC or draw76%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals67%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes58%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals55%LANDED
Nykobing FC to win54%MISSED
Nykobing FC to win54%MISSED
Fremad Amager to win24%LANDED
Match to end in a draw22%MISSED
Regionalliga OstNo selection / abstained
Gloggnitz
1–1Full time
Oberwart
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 1-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals87%LANDED
Oberwart to score85%LANDED
Oberwart or draw72%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals68%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes68%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals53%LANDED
Oberwart to win48%MISSED
Oberwart to win48%MISSED
Gloggnitz to win28%MISSED
Match to end in a draw24%LANDED
Regionalliga - NordostNo selection / abstained
Hertha BSC II
0–1Full time
RSV Eintracht
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
RSV Eintracht won 0-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals80%MISSED
Hertha BSC II to score77%MISSED
Hertha BSC II or draw69%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals65%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes61%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals58%MISSED
Hertha BSC II to win45%MISSED
Hertha BSC II to win45%MISSED
RSV Eintracht to win31%LANDED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
AllsvenskanShortlist landed
IF Brommapojkarna
0–2Full time
Djurgardens IF
Shortlisted selection
Djurgardens IF or draw85%
Reliability score · raw probability 85%
Djurgardens IF won 0-2. The shortlisted double_chance · X2 selection landed; the 0-2 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Djurgardens IF or draw85%LANDED
Djurgardens IF to score81%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals78%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals67%LANDED
Djurgardens IF to win65%LANDED
Djurgardens IF to win65%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes57%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals55%MISSED
Match to end in a draw19%MISSED
IF Brommapojkarna to win15%MISSED
Ettan - SödraShortlist landed
Lund
2–4Full time
Trelleborg
Shortlisted selection
Lund to score83%
Reliability score · raw probability 84%
Trelleborg won 2-4. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Lund to score84%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals82%LANDED
Lund or draw66%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes62%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals61%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals61%MISSED
Lund to win40%MISSED
Lund to win40%MISSED
Trelleborg to win34%LANDED
Match to end in a draw26%MISSED
2. DivisionShortlist landed
Naestved
2–1Full time
B 93
Shortlisted selection
Naestved to score81%
Reliability score · raw probability 81%
Naestved won 2-1. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Naestved to score81%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals80%LANDED
Naestved or draw66%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals65%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes59%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals57%LANDED
Naestved to win40%LANDED
Naestved to win40%LANDED
B 93 to win34%MISSED
Match to end in a draw26%MISSED
Regionalliga OstNo selection / abstained
Scheiblingkirchen
1–2Full time
Krems / Rehberg
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Krems / Rehberg won 1-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals82%LANDED
Krems / Rehberg to score81%LANDED
Krems / Rehberg or draw72%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes63%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals62%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals61%LANDED
Krems / Rehberg to win49%LANDED
Krems / Rehberg to win49%LANDED
Scheiblingkirchen to win28%MISSED
Match to end in a draw23%MISSED
Regionalliga - NordostShortlist missed
Tasmania Berlin
6–0Full time
SV Babelsberg 03
Shortlisted selection
SV Babelsberg 03 to score80%
Reliability score · raw probability 83%
Tasmania Berlin won 6-0. The shortlisted team_to_score · AWAY selection missed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals88%LANDED
SV Babelsberg 03 to score83%MISSED
SV Babelsberg 03 or draw74%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals70%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes70%MISSED
SV Babelsberg 03 to win51%MISSED
SV Babelsberg 03 to win51%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals51%MISSED
Tasmania Berlin to win26%LANDED
Match to end in a draw22%MISSED
Regionalliga OstNo selection / abstained
Favoritner AC
1–2Full time
Traiskirchen
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Traiskirchen won 1-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals85%LANDED
Traiskirchen to score80%LANDED
Traiskirchen or draw72%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes66%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals65%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals57%LANDED
Traiskirchen to win49%LANDED
Traiskirchen to win49%LANDED
Favoritner AC to win28%MISSED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
Regionalliga OstNo selection / abstained
Mattersburg SV 2020
1–0Full time
SV Horn
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Mattersburg SV 2020 won 1-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals76%MISSED
SV Horn to score74%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals70%LANDED
SV Horn or draw65%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes56%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals52%MISSED
SV Horn to win38%MISSED
SV Horn to win38%MISSED
Mattersburg SV 2020 to win35%LANDED
Match to end in a draw28%MISSED
BundesligaNo selection / abstained
Rapid Vienna
3–1Full time
TSV Hartberg
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Rapid Vienna won 3-1. The underlying 1X2 model outcome landed, but it was not a formal recommendation; the 3-1 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Rapid Vienna or draw92%LANDED
Rapid Vienna to score87%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals82%LANDED
Rapid Vienna to win78%LANDED
Rapid Vienna to win78%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals61%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals61%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes59%LANDED
Match to end in a draw14%MISSED
TSV Hartberg to win8%MISSED
Ettan - NorraShortlist landed
Stocksund
1–3Full time
Enköping
Shortlisted selection
Enköping to score85%
Reliability score · raw probability 85%
Enköping won 1-3. The shortlisted team_to_score · AWAY selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals88%LANDED
Enköping to score85%LANDED
Enköping or draw79%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals71%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes70%LANDED
Enköping to win61%LANDED
Enköping to win61%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals50%MISSED
Stocksund to win21%MISSED
Match to end in a draw17%MISSED
Regionalliga - NordShortlist missed
Weiche Flensburg
3–0Full time
SV Drochtersen/Assel
Shortlisted selection
SV Drochtersen/Assel to score83%
Reliability score · raw probability 83%
Weiche Flensburg won 3-0. The shortlisted team_to_score · AWAY selection missed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals89%LANDED
SV Drochtersen/Assel to score83%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals73%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes72%MISSED
SV Drochtersen/Assel or draw67%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals48%LANDED
SV Drochtersen/Assel to win43%MISSED
SV Drochtersen/Assel to win43%MISSED
Weiche Flensburg to win33%LANDED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
Regionalliga OstNo selection / abstained
Wiener SC
2–0Full time
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Wiener SC won 2-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals83%LANDED
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf to score79%MISSED
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf or draw68%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes64%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals63%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals60%LANDED
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf to win41%MISSED
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf to win41%MISSED
Wiener SC to win32%LANDED
Match to end in a draw27%MISSED
Eerste DivisieShortlist landed
Den Bosch
2–1Full time
FC OSS
Shortlisted selection
Den Bosch to score83%
Reliability score · raw probability 83%
Den Bosch won 2-1. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; the 2-1 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals84%LANDED
Den Bosch to score83%LANDED
Den Bosch or draw80%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes65%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals64%LANDED
Den Bosch to win59%LANDED
Den Bosch to win59%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals58%LANDED
Match to end in a draw21%MISSED
FC OSS to win20%MISSED
Eerste DivisieShortlist landed
FC Eindhoven
0–1Full time
Vitesse
Shortlisted selection
Vitesse to score80%
Reliability score · raw probability 80%
Vitesse won 0-1. The shortlisted team_to_score · AWAY selection landed; the 0-1 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals83%MISSED
Vitesse to score80%LANDED
Vitesse or draw70%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes63%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals62%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals61%LANDED
Vitesse to win46%LANDED
Vitesse to win46%LANDED
FC Eindhoven to win30%MISSED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
EredivisieShortlist landed
Heerenveen
4–0Full time
Excelsior
Shortlisted selection
Heerenveen or draw83%
Reliability score · raw probability 83%
Heerenveen won 4-0. The shortlisted double_chance · 1X selection landed; the 4-0 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Heerenveen or draw83%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals82%LANDED
Heerenveen to score80%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes63%MISSED
Heerenveen to win62%LANDED
Heerenveen to win62%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals61%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals61%MISSED
Match to end in a draw20%MISSED
Excelsior to win17%MISSED
Eerste DivisieNo selection / abstained
Helmond Sport
0–2Full time
NAC Breda
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
NAC Breda won 0-2. The underlying 1X2 model outcome landed, but it was not a formal recommendation; the 0-2 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals84%LANDED
NAC Breda or draw82%LANDED
NAC Breda to score76%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes64%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals63%MISSED
NAC Breda to win62%LANDED
NAC Breda to win62%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals59%LANDED
Match to end in a draw20%MISSED
Helmond Sport to win18%MISSED
NB INo selection / abstained
MTK Budapest
1–0Full time
Vasas
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
MTK Budapest won 1-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 1-0 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals84%MISSED
MTK Budapest to score78%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes64%MISSED
MTK Budapest or draw64%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals63%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals59%LANDED
MTK Budapest to win40%LANDED
MTK Budapest to win40%LANDED
Vasas to win36%MISSED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
Liga 1Shortlist landed
Sport Huancayo
2–1Full time
Cusco
Shortlisted selection
Sport Huancayo to score81%
Reliability score · raw probability 81%
Sport Huancayo won 2-1. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; the 2-1 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Sport Huancayo or draw82%LANDED
Sport Huancayo to score81%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals79%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals66%LANDED
Sport Huancayo to win60%LANDED
Sport Huancayo to win60%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes58%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals56%LANDED
Match to end in a draw22%MISSED
Cusco to win18%MISSED
Eerste DivisieShortlist landed
VVV Venlo
4–4Full time
Jong AZ
Shortlisted selection
VVV Venlo to score88%
Reliability score · raw probability 88%
The match finished level 4-4. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; the 4-4 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals88%LANDED
VVV Venlo to score88%LANDED
VVV Venlo or draw74%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals72%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes70%LANDED
VVV Venlo to win53%MISSED
VVV Venlo to win53%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals49%MISSED
Jong AZ to win26%MISSED
Match to end in a draw21%LANDED
BundesligaShortlist landed
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–0Full time
1. FC Köln
Shortlisted selection
Eintracht Frankfurt to score83%
Reliability score · raw probability 83%
Eintracht Frankfurt won 1-0. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; the 1-0 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Eintracht Frankfurt to score83%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals83%MISSED
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw74%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes63%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals62%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals60%LANDED
Eintracht Frankfurt to win52%LANDED
Eintracht Frankfurt to win52%LANDED
1. FC Köln to win26%MISSED
Match to end in a draw22%MISSED
Serie BNo selection / abstained
Hellas Verona
2–2Full time
Catanzaro
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 2-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 2-2 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Hellas Verona or draw80%LANDED
Hellas Verona to score79%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals77%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals69%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes57%LANDED
Hellas Verona to win56%MISSED
Hellas Verona to win56%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals54%LANDED
Match to end in a draw24%LANDED
Catanzaro to win20%MISSED
SegundaNo selection / abstained
Leganes
0–1Full time
Cordoba
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Cordoba won 0-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 0-1 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Leganes to score78%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals75%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Leganes or draw67%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes54%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals50%MISSED
Leganes to win39%MISSED
Leganes to win39%MISSED
Cordoba to win33%LANDED
Match to end in a draw27%MISSED
Serie C - Girone ANo selection / abstained
PRO Vercelli
0–5Full time
Lecco
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Lecco won 0-5. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals83%MISSED
Lecco to score68%LANDED
Lecco or draw68%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals64%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals63%LANDED
Both teams to score — No57%LANDED
Lecco to win39%LANDED
Lecco to win39%LANDED
PRO Vercelli to win32%MISSED
Match to end in a draw29%MISSED
Premier DivisionNo selection / abstained
Bohemians
2–1Full time
Waterford
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Bohemians won 2-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 2-1 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Bohemians to score82%LANDED
Bohemians or draw81%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals81%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals64%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes60%LANDED
Bohemians to win59%LANDED
Bohemians to win59%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals59%LANDED
Match to end in a draw22%MISSED
Waterford to win19%MISSED
Premier DivisionNo selection / abstained
Drogheda United
2–0Full time
Derry City
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Drogheda United won 2-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 2-0 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals77%LANDED
Derry City to score76%MISSED
Derry City or draw71%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals69%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes57%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals54%MISSED
Derry City to win43%MISSED
Derry City to win43%MISSED
Drogheda United to win29%LANDED
Match to end in a draw28%MISSED
Serie ANo selection / abstained
Frosinone
4–2Full time
Sassuolo
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Frosinone won 4-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 4-2 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Frosinone to score76%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals74%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals73%MISSED
Frosinone or draw66%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes53%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals51%MISSED
Frosinone to win40%LANDED
Frosinone to win40%LANDED
Sassuolo to win34%MISSED
Match to end in a draw26%MISSED
Premier DivisionNo selection / abstained
Galway United
2–0Full time
Shamrock Rovers
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Galway United won 2-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 2-0 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Shamrock Rovers or draw80%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals75%LANDED
Shamrock Rovers to score74%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Shamrock Rovers to win55%MISSED
Shamrock Rovers to win55%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes54%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals50%LANDED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
Galway United to win20%LANDED
Ligue 1No selection / abstained
Le Mans
0–3Full time
Toulouse
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Toulouse won 0-3. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 0-3 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals82%LANDED
Toulouse to score75%LANDED
Toulouse or draw69%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals62%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes62%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals60%LANDED
Toulouse to win43%LANDED
Toulouse to win43%LANDED
Le Mans to win31%MISSED
Match to end in a draw26%MISSED
ChampionshipNo selection / abstained
Burnley
1–2Full time
Wolves
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Wolves won 1-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 1-2 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals76%LANDED
Wolves to score74%LANDED
Wolves or draw70%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals70%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes56%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals52%LANDED
Wolves to win44%LANDED
Wolves to win44%LANDED
Burnley to win30%MISSED
Match to end in a draw26%MISSED
La LigaShortlist landed
Deportivo La Coruna
1–1Full time
Levante
Shortlisted selection
Deportivo La Coruna to score84%
Reliability score · raw probability 84%
The match finished level 1-1. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; the 1-1 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Deportivo La Coruna to score84%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals79%LANDED
Deportivo La Coruna or draw73%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals66%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals57%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes56%LANDED
Deportivo La Coruna to win46%MISSED
Deportivo La Coruna to win46%MISSED
Levante to win27%MISSED
Match to end in a draw27%LANDED
Premier DivisionNo selection / abstained
St Patrick's Athl.
1–2Full time
Shelbourne
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Shelbourne won 1-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 1-2 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
St Patrick's Athl. or draw82%MISSED
St Patrick's Athl. to score79%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals77%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals70%LANDED
St Patrick's Athl. to win60%MISSED
St Patrick's Athl. to win60%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals55%MISSED
Both teams to score — No53%MISSED
Match to end in a draw23%MISSED
Shelbourne to win18%LANDED
Liga 1Shortlist landed
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2–1Full time
ADT
Shortlisted selection
Club Deportivo Los Chankas to score82%
Reliability score · raw probability 82%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas won 2-1. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; the 2-1 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas to score82%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals78%LANDED
Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw70%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals67%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes56%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals55%LANDED
Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win44%LANDED
Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win44%LANDED
ADT to win30%MISSED
Match to end in a draw26%MISSED
Primera DivisiónNo selection / abstained
Cerro
1–1Full time
Cerro Largo
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 1-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals82%LANDED
Cerro or draw72%LANDED
Cerro to score69%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals65%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals62%LANDED
Both teams to score — No56%MISSED
Cerro to win42%MISSED
Cerro to win42%MISSED
Match to end in a draw30%LANDED
Cerro Largo to win28%MISSED
Liga ProfesionalNo selection / abstained
Defensa Y Justicia
0–1Full time
Instituto Cordoba
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Instituto Cordoba won 0-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 0-1 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals81%LANDED
Defensa Y Justicia or draw69%MISSED
Defensa Y Justicia to score68%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals65%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals61%LANDED
Both teams to score — No55%LANDED
Defensa Y Justicia to win38%MISSED
Defensa Y Justicia to win38%MISSED
Instituto Cordoba to win31%LANDED
Match to end in a draw31%MISSED
Long-term 1X2 ledger
Original match-result model performance
This section remains separate from the reliability shortlist. It evaluates the original EPL 1X2 probability distribution, scoring quality, and publication-time odds.
Published
20
Pending
1
Settled
19
Wins / losses
13 / 6
Accuracy
68.42%
Average Brier
0.237
Average log loss
0.827
Average odds
—
Calibration gap
0.94 pts
Maximum losing streak
3
Voided
0
Unit P/L
Unavailable
ROI
Unavailable
Method and eligibility
Accuracy is wins divided by settled wins plus losses. Pending and void results are excluded. Brier score and log loss evaluate the original probability distribution; lower is better. The calibration gap compares average recorded confidence with observed accuracy. ROI and unit profit/loss are calculated only when every eligible settled record has immutable publication-time decimal odds; later prices are never substituted.
Immutable public ledger
Latest post-kickoff records
Premier League · superseded
Sunderland 0–0 Leeds
- Original call
- Abstained · 0%
- Published
- Settled
- Model
- Apex Hybrid v1.1.0
- Brier / log loss
- 0.381 / 1.244
- Publication odds
- 1xBet: away 2.63 · 1xBet: draw 3.44 · 1xBet: home 2.90 · Bet365: away 2.45 · Bet365: draw 3.40 · Bet365: home 2.80 · BetVictor: away 2.45 · BetVictor: draw 3.25 · BetVictor: home 2.80 · Betano: away 2.50 · Betano: draw 3.25 · Betano: home 2.92 · Betfair: away 2.45 · Betfair: draw 3.10 · Betfair: home 3.00 · Dafabet: away 2.49 · Dafabet: draw 3.30 · Dafabet: home 2.90 · Marathonbet: away 2.56 · Marathonbet: draw 3.35 · Marathonbet: home 2.82 · Pinnacle: away 2.58 · Pinnacle: draw 3.22 · Pinnacle: home 2.99 · SBO: away 2.33 · SBO: draw 3.02 · SBO: home 2.70 · William Hill: away 2.50 · William Hill: draw 3.20 · William Hill: home 2.80
Changed: system reforecast — Superseded before kickoff by a materially changed model output. ·
Premier League · superseded
Sunderland 0–0 Leeds
- Original call
- Abstained · 12%
- Published
- Settled
- Model
- Apex Hybrid v1.1.0
- Brier / log loss
- 0.377 / 1.228
- Publication odds
Goal markets, scored on their own
Over/Under 2.5 and both teams to score
Settled goal picks only, every league combined, each market with its own hit rate and sample. A two-way goal market is easier to hit than a three-way match result, so these figures are never added to the 1X2 record above. Every settled pick counts, losses included; voids and no-pick matches are excluded.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Hit rate
- 63%
- Settled picks
- 495
- Landed / missed
- 314 / 181
Stated probability against what happened, over the latest 87 settled picks:
Stated probability63%
Realised hit rate100%
- Ferencvarosi TC 5–0 MTK BudapestNB I: Over 2.5 at 67%LANDED
- Ferencvarosi TC 5–0 MTK BudapestNB I: Over 2.5 at 67%LANDED
- Ferencvarosi TC 5–0 MTK BudapestNB I: Over 2.5 at 67%LANDED
- Ferencvarosi TC 5–0 MTK BudapestNB I: Over 2.5 at 67%LANDED
- Ferencvarosi TC 5–0 MTK BudapestNB I: Over 2.5 at 67%LANDED
- Ferencvarosi TC 5–0 MTK BudapestNB I: Over 2.5 at 67%LANDED
Both teams to score
- Hit rate
- 76%
- Settled picks
- 55
- Landed / missed
- 42 / 13
Stated probability against what happened, over all 55 settled picks:
Stated probability65%
Realised hit rate76%