Matches in scope
30
Completed or cancelled fixtures covered by this report.
Transparent performance
ApexPredict public track record
Every settled matchday is disclosed after the evaluation worker finishes: shortlist wins, misses, abstentions, league splits, and every modelled market. No outcome is hidden by a subscription.
Matchday report
What landed, what missed, and what Apex left alone
This report is rebuilt from the evaluation worker's settled postmortems. It measures the exact market shortlisted for each match and separately audits every other modelled angle.
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Lagos time (WAT)
30 matches were in scope. 9 matches received a shortlist pick: 9 landed and 0 missed, a 100% hit rate. 19 matches were abstained from, and 2 had no public postmortem.
Shortlist picks
9
Matches where one market cleared every gate.
Landed
9
The shortlisted condition occurred.
Missed
0
The shortlisted condition did not occur.
Abstained
19
No market was strong enough to shortlist.
Not analyzed
2
Completed fixtures missing a public prediction postmortem.
Shortlist hit rate
100%
Landed ÷ landed plus missed; abstentions and voids excluded.
Selected performance
Shortlisted markets
Only the one market Apex actually selected for each match.
| Group | Picks | Landed | Missed | Abstained | Not analyzed | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Team to score | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
All-option audit
Every modelled market
This recreates reports such as “team to score landed 30 of 37.” These were evaluated options, not necessarily customer shortlist picks.
| Market | Landed | Missed | Sample | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team to score | 21 | 7 | 28 | 75% |
| Double chance | 20 | 8 | 28 | 71.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 20 | 8 | 28 | 71.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 20 | 8 | 28 | 71.4% |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | 19 | 9 | 28 | 67.9% |
| Both teams to score | 16 | 12 | 28 | 57.1% |
| Outright match result | 43 | 69 | 112 | 38.4% |
League view
Matchday results by competition
A league can have a strong day without proving a lasting trend. Sample sizes remain visible.
| Group | Picks | Landed | Missed | Abstained | Not analyzed | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 1. Division | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| First Amateur | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| J2 League | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 100% |
| League One | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Liga MX | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
| Liga MX Femenil | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| La Liga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Liga Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Meistriliiga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Primera A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Veikkausliiga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — |
Every reviewed match
Match-by-match postmortems
Primera ANo selection / abstained
Internacional de Bogota
2–1Full time
Fortaleza FC
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Internacional de Bogota won 2-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 2-1 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Internacional de Bogota to score79%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals77%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals70%LANDED
Internacional de Bogota or draw69%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes56%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals53%LANDED
Internacional de Bogota to win41%LANDED
Internacional de Bogota to win41%LANDED
Fortaleza FC to win31%MISSED
Match to end in a draw28%MISSED
Primera ANo selection / abstained
Cucuta
1–0Full time
Atletico Nacional
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Cucuta won 1-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 1-0 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Atletico Nacional or draw80%MISSED
Atletico Nacional to score78%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals75%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Atletico Nacional to win56%MISSED
Atletico Nacional to win56%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes54%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals50%LANDED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
Cucuta to win20%LANDED
Liga MXShortlist landed
Guadalajara Chivas
1–0Full time
Necaxa
Shortlisted selection
Guadalajara Chivas or draw86%
Reliability score · raw probability 88%
Guadalajara Chivas won 1-0. The shortlisted double_chance · 1X selection landed; the 1-0 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Guadalajara Chivas or draw88%LANDED
Guadalajara Chivas to score85%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals79%MISSED
Guadalajara Chivas to win72%LANDED
Guadalajara Chivas to win72%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals67%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals56%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes54%MISSED
Match to end in a draw17%MISSED
Necaxa to win12%MISSED
Liga MXNo selection / abstained
Atletico San Luis
2–1Full time
Club Queretaro
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Atletico San Luis won 2-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 2-1 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals74%LANDED
Atletico San Luis to score74%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Atletico San Luis or draw69%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes54%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals50%MISSED
Atletico San Luis to win42%LANDED
Atletico San Luis to win42%LANDED
Club Queretaro to win31%MISSED
Match to end in a draw27%MISSED
Liga MXNot analyzed
FC Juarez
0–1Full time
Atlante FC
Coverage gap
No public prediction postmortem exists for this fixture.
No public prediction postmortem was produced for this completed fixture.
All modelled angles (0)
Review unavailable
Primera ANo selection / abstained
Millonarios
1–1Full time
Once Caldas
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 1-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 1-1 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Millonarios or draw80%LANDED
Millonarios to score79%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals76%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals71%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals55%LANDED
Millonarios to win54%MISSED
Millonarios to win54%MISSED
Both teams to score — No52%MISSED
Match to end in a draw26%LANDED
Once Caldas to win20%MISSED
Liga MXNo selection / abstained
Tigres UANL
0–2Full time
Leon
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Leon won 0-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 0-2 result broadly matched the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Tigres UANL to score79%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals75%LANDED
Tigres UANL or draw74%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals72%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes54%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals50%MISSED
Tigres UANL to win47%MISSED
Tigres UANL to win47%MISSED
Match to end in a draw27%MISSED
Leon to win26%LANDED
Liga MX FemenilShortlist landed
Guadalajara W
7–0Full time
Necaxa W
Shortlisted selection
Guadalajara W or draw99%
Reliability score · raw probability 99%
Guadalajara W won 7-0. The shortlisted double_chance · 1X selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Guadalajara W or draw99%LANDED
Guadalajara W to win97%LANDED
Guadalajara W to win97%LANDED
Guadalajara W to score95%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals90%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals74%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes55%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals47%MISSED
Match to end in a draw2%MISSED
Necaxa W to win1%MISSED
J2 LeagueNo selection / abstained
Montedio Yamagata
0–2Full time
Consadole Sapporo
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Consadole Sapporo won 0-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Montedio Yamagata to score80%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals74%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals73%LANDED
Montedio Yamagata or draw68%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals51%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes51%MISSED
Montedio Yamagata to win41%MISSED
Montedio Yamagata to win41%MISSED
Consadole Sapporo to win32%LANDED
Match to end in a draw27%MISSED
Liga 1Shortlist landed
Bali United
5–0Full time
Garudayaksa
Shortlisted selection
Bali United or draw84%
Reliability score · raw probability 84%
Bali United won 5-0. The shortlisted double_chance · 1X selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Bali United or draw84%LANDED
Bali United to score80%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals77%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals69%MISSED
Bali United to win65%LANDED
Bali United to win65%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes55%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals53%LANDED
Match to end in a draw19%MISSED
Garudayaksa to win16%MISSED
J2 LeagueNo selection / abstained
Albirex Niigata
2–1Full time
Sagan Tosu
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Albirex Niigata won 2-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals74%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals73%LANDED
Sagan Tosu or draw72%MISSED
Sagan Tosu to score70%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes53%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals52%MISSED
Sagan Tosu to win44%MISSED
Sagan Tosu to win44%MISSED
Match to end in a draw28%MISSED
Albirex Niigata to win28%LANDED
J2 LeagueNo selection / abstained
Jubilo Iwata
0–0Full time
Oita Trinita
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 0-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals81%LANDED
Jubilo Iwata or draw78%LANDED
Jubilo Iwata to score71%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals66%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals61%LANDED
Both teams to score — No55%LANDED
Jubilo Iwata to win51%MISSED
Jubilo Iwata to win51%MISSED
Match to end in a draw27%LANDED
Oita Trinita to win22%MISSED
J2 LeagueNo selection / abstained
Omiya Ardija
0–3Full time
Kataller Toyama
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Kataller Toyama won 0-3. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals76%LANDED
Omiya Ardija to score73%MISSED
Over 1.5 total goals71%LANDED
Omiya Ardija or draw68%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals55%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes50%MISSED
Omiya Ardija to win44%MISSED
Omiya Ardija to win44%MISSED
Kataller Toyama to win32%LANDED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
J2 LeagueNo selection / abstained
Shonan Bellmare
1–1Full time
Iwaki
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 1-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Shonan Bellmare to score75%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals74%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals73%LANDED
Shonan Bellmare or draw70%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes52%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals52%LANDED
Shonan Bellmare to win42%MISSED
Shonan Bellmare to win42%MISSED
Iwaki to win30%MISSED
Match to end in a draw28%LANDED
J2 LeagueNo selection / abstained
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–1Full time
Blaublitz Akita
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 2-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw77%LANDED
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to score76%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals74%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals73%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals52%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes52%LANDED
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win48%LANDED
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win48%LANDED
Match to end in a draw29%MISSED
Blaublitz Akita to win23%MISSED
J2 LeagueNo selection / abstained
Tochigi City
2–2Full time
Fujieda MYFC
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 2-2. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Tochigi City to score80%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals77%LANDED
Tochigi City or draw70%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals69%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes56%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals53%LANDED
Tochigi City to win44%MISSED
Tochigi City to win44%MISSED
Fujieda MYFC to win30%MISSED
Match to end in a draw26%LANDED
J2 LeagueNo selection / abstained
Tokushima Vortis
0–1Full time
Vanraure Hachinohe
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Vanraure Hachinohe won 0-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals83%LANDED
Tokushima Vortis or draw77%MISSED
Tokushima Vortis to score72%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals64%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals63%MISSED
Both teams to score — No58%LANDED
Tokushima Vortis to win49%MISSED
Tokushima Vortis to win49%MISSED
Match to end in a draw28%MISSED
Vanraure Hachinohe to win23%LANDED
J2 LeagueShortlist landed
Vegalta Sendai
3–1Full time
Imabari
Shortlisted selection
Vegalta Sendai to score84%
Reliability score · raw probability 84%
Vegalta Sendai won 3-1. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Vegalta Sendai or draw87%LANDED
Vegalta Sendai to score84%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals77%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals69%MISSED
Vegalta Sendai to win68%LANDED
Vegalta Sendai to win68%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals54%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes52%LANDED
Match to end in a draw20%MISSED
Imabari to win13%MISSED
J2 LeagueNo selection / abstained
Ventforet Kofu
0–3Full time
Yokohama FC
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Yokohama FC won 0-3. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Yokohama FC or draw82%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals76%LANDED
Yokohama FC to score74%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals71%LANDED
Yokohama FC to win58%LANDED
Yokohama FC to win58%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals55%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes50%MISSED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
Ventforet Kofu to win18%MISSED
Liga 1Shortlist landed
Persija
5–1Full time
Arema FC
Shortlisted selection
Persija or draw90%
Reliability score · raw probability 90%
Persija won 5-1. The shortlisted double_chance · 1X selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Persija or draw90%LANDED
Persija to score82%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals78%LANDED
Persija to win74%LANDED
Persija to win74%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals68%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes56%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals54%LANDED
Match to end in a draw16%MISSED
Arema FC to win10%MISSED
MeistriliigaNo selection / abstained
Laagri
3–1Full time
Flora Tallinn
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Laagri won 3-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals82%LANDED
Flora Tallinn to score79%LANDED
Flora Tallinn or draw73%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes63%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals61%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals61%MISSED
Flora Tallinn to win51%MISSED
Flora Tallinn to win51%MISSED
Laagri to win27%LANDED
Match to end in a draw22%MISSED
VeikkausliigaNot analyzed
PK-35
1–1Full time
FF Jaro
Coverage gap
No public prediction postmortem exists for this fixture.
No public prediction postmortem was produced for this completed fixture.
All modelled angles (0)
Review unavailable
Liga NacionalNo selection / abstained
Malacateco
1–0Full time
Comunicaciones
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Malacateco won 1-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Malacateco to score78%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals77%LANDED
Malacateco or draw74%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals70%MISSED
Under 2.5 total goals56%LANDED
Both teams to score — No53%LANDED
Malacateco to win44%LANDED
Malacateco to win44%LANDED
Match to end in a draw30%MISSED
Comunicaciones to win26%MISSED
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Shortlist landed
Terrassa
1–0Full time
Girona II
Shortlisted selection
Terrassa or draw80%
Reliability score · raw probability 82%
Terrassa won 1-0. The shortlisted double_chance · 1X selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Terrassa or draw82%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals76%LANDED
Terrassa to score75%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals71%MISSED
Terrassa to win58%LANDED
Terrassa to win58%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals55%LANDED
Both teams to score — No51%LANDED
Match to end in a draw24%MISSED
Girona II to win18%MISSED
1. DivisionShortlist landed
Sogndal
2–1Full time
Raufoss
Shortlisted selection
Sogndal to score90%
Reliability score · raw probability 90%
Sogndal won 2-1. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Sogndal to score90%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals89%LANDED
Sogndal or draw85%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals72%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes69%LANDED
Sogndal to win66%LANDED
Sogndal to win66%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals49%LANDED
Match to end in a draw19%MISSED
Raufoss to win15%MISSED
First AmateurShortlist landed
Albert Quévy-Mons
2–0Full time
Rochefort
Shortlisted selection
Albert Quévy-Mons to score81%
Reliability score · raw probability 84%
Albert Quévy-Mons won 2-0. The shortlisted team_to_score · HOME selection landed; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Albert Quévy-Mons to score84%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals82%LANDED
Albert Quévy-Mons or draw75%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals62%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes61%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals61%MISSED
Albert Quévy-Mons to win50%LANDED
Albert Quévy-Mons to win50%LANDED
Rochefort to win25%MISSED
Match to end in a draw25%MISSED
First AmateurNo selection / abstained
Heist
4–0Full time
Tienen
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Heist won 4-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals83%LANDED
Heist to score79%LANDED
Heist or draw73%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes63%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals62%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals61%MISSED
Heist to win48%LANDED
Heist to win48%LANDED
Tienen to win27%MISSED
Match to end in a draw26%MISSED
La LigaNo selection / abstained
Levante
3–1Full time
Athletic Club
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
Levante won 3-1. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; the 3-1 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Over 1.5 total goals77%LANDED
Athletic Club or draw74%MISSED
Athletic Club to score71%LANDED
Under 3.5 total goals69%MISSED
Both teams to score — Yes56%LANDED
Over 2.5 total goals53%LANDED
Athletic Club to win45%MISSED
Athletic Club to win45%MISSED
Match to end in a draw28%MISSED
Levante to win26%LANDED
League OneShortlist landed
Reading
1–0Full time
Leyton Orient
Shortlisted selection
Reading or draw87%
Reliability score · raw probability 87%
Reading won 1-0. The shortlisted double_chance · 1X selection landed; the 1-0 result diverged from the expected-goals process.
All modelled angles (10)
Reading or draw87%LANDED
Reading to score80%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals76%MISSED
Under 3.5 total goals70%LANDED
Reading to win67%LANDED
Reading to win67%LANDED
Both teams to score — Yes55%MISSED
Over 2.5 total goals52%MISSED
Match to end in a draw20%MISSED
Leyton Orient to win13%MISSED
Liga NacionalNo selection / abstained
Mixco
0–0Full time
Municipal
Apex decision
No market cleared the gate.
The match finished level 0-0. ApexPredict made no formal bet recommendation; full underlying statistics were unavailable.
All modelled angles (10)
Under 3.5 total goals77%LANDED
Over 1.5 total goals70%MISSED
Municipal to score70%MISSED
Municipal or draw67%LANDED
Under 2.5 total goals56%LANDED
Both teams to score — No51%LANDED
Municipal to win38%MISSED
Municipal to win38%MISSED
Mixco to win33%MISSED
Match to end in a draw29%LANDED
Long-term 1X2 ledger
Original match-result model performance
This section remains separate from the reliability shortlist. It evaluates the original EPL 1X2 probability distribution, scoring quality, and publication-time odds.
Published
19
Pending
1
Settled
18
Wins / losses
12 / 6
Accuracy
66.67%
Average Brier
0.247
Average log loss
0.853
Average odds
—
Calibration gap
0.68 pts
Maximum losing streak
3
Voided
0
Unit P/L
Unavailable
ROI
Unavailable
Method and eligibility
Accuracy is wins divided by settled wins plus losses. Pending and void results are excluded. Brier score and log loss evaluate the original probability distribution; lower is better. The calibration gap compares average recorded confidence with observed accuracy. ROI and unit profit/loss are calculated only when every eligible settled record has immutable publication-time decimal odds; later prices are never substituted.
Immutable public ledger
Latest post-kickoff records
Premier League · superseded
Tottenham 3–1 Coventry
- Original call
- Tottenham win · 69%
- Published
- Settled
- Model
- Apex Hybrid v1.1.0
- Brier / log loss
- 0.092 / 0.428
- Publication odds
- 1xBet: away 6.47 · 1xBet: draw 4.72 · 1xBet: home 1.54 · Bet365: away 6.50 · Bet365: draw 4.50 · Bet365: home 1.48 · BetVictor: away 6.00 · BetVictor: draw 4.50 · BetVictor: home 1.45 · Betano: away 6.00 · Betano: draw 4.55 · Betano: home 1.50 · Betfair: away 6.00 · Betfair: draw 4.50 · Betfair: home 1.44 · Dafabet: away 6.00 · Dafabet: draw 4.80 · Dafabet: home 1.50 · Marathonbet: away 6.30 · Marathonbet: draw 4.60 · Marathonbet: home 1.50 · Pinnacle: away 6.43 · Pinnacle: draw 4.76 · Pinnacle: home 1.49 · SBO: away 5.42 · SBO: draw 4.12 · SBO: home 1.43 · William Hill: away 5.80 · William Hill: draw 4.20 · William Hill: home 1.50
Changed: system reforecast — Superseded before kickoff by a materially changed model output. ·
Premier League · superseded
Tottenham 3–1 Coventry
- Original call
- Tottenham win · 69%
- Published
- Settled
- Model
- Apex Hybrid v1.1.0
- Brier / log loss
- 0.091 / 0.426
- Publication odds
Goal markets, scored on their own
Over/Under 2.5 and both teams to score
Settled goal picks only, every league combined, each market with its own hit rate and sample. A two-way goal market is easier to hit than a three-way match result, so these figures are never added to the 1X2 record above. Every settled pick counts, losses included; voids and no-pick matches are excluded.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Hit rate
- 62%
- Settled picks
- 368
- Landed / missed
- 229 / 139
Stated probability against what happened, over the latest 22 settled picks:
Stated probability64%
Realised hit rate0%
- Atlas W 1–1 León WLiga MX Femenil: Over 2.5 at 63%MISSED
- Atlas W 1–1 León WLiga MX Femenil: Over 2.5 at 63%MISSED
- Atlas W 1–1 León WLiga MX Femenil: Over 2.5 at 63%MISSED
- Atlas W 1–1 León WLiga MX Femenil: Over 2.5 at 63%MISSED
- Atlas W 1–1 León WLiga MX Femenil: Over 2.5 at 63%MISSED
- Al Hussein 1–0 DoqarahLeague: Over 2.5 at 64%MISSED
Both teams to score
- Hit rate
- 74%
- Settled picks
- 39
- Landed / missed
- 29 / 10
Stated probability against what happened, over all 39 settled picks:
Stated probability65%
Realised hit rate74%